pohjalainen | July 23, 2014 at 8:50 am | Reply
Yes, I know about Paris. And Stockholm etc.
Yep, if there was an attack from the outside we’d fold, without your help, fast enough. From the inside, that depends. Right now it could go either way, but what makes me think Caliphate will probably not happen is that it seems likely that these strangers who have been moving here may very likely go too far too fast. They are strangers, and it’s one thing when you are being told what to do by your own, something else when some group of strangers tries to do that, and they are trying to do it already. But we are still tribal, and right now it seems likely they will push us into reacting before they have the numbers to subdue us by force. One part is that their group has a lots of angry young men who are likely to fly off the handle regularly. And if the perception of them changes from the people who work the cafes and the hospitals into the people who may burn your car, not only if you make the mistake of parking it somewhere close to their turf but on your home street, or maybe even kill you or yours on some street on _your_ part of the city… there is resentment already, for now it’s mostly underneath the surface, but if they keep pushing that will change.
And remember that not all here are college educated cubicle dwellers. The descendants of the former factory workers are getting a bit restless as it is, but for now there is the money to keep even the out of work ones comfortable, they can pay for their beer and sports. Take that away while giving them a clear and obvious enemy living next door…and hey, the ruling classes may even help there, it’s a time honored tradition to stay in power by directing the anger of the subjects somewhere else, they protect those groups only as long as it is good for them, but if being pro-immigrant turns into an obvious liability politically they will most likely change their tune fast enough – or they will be replaced by rulers who do sing a different tune (and as you said, the money will not last forever, and the subjects will be very pissed once it runs out. The rulers – or wannabe rulers – will be on the lookout for suitable lighting rods sooner or later. An already disliked immigrant group might seem like a godsend.).
Now imagine a couple of those foreign looking angry young men killing a popular soccer star on the street instead of some unknown soldier…
But if they manage to push us into that backlash, well, we tend to change rulers, at most how the rulers are picked, not the system itself.